Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 7.478018 8.654491 9.917068 11.368372 12.985926 14.728745 16.743806
2025-02-16 5.189023 6.661127 8.369989 10.482250 13.003832 15.898012 19.450233
2025-02-23 3.694636 5.248411 7.192835 9.763178 13.026032 16.982276 22.089312
2025-03-02 2.751346 4.310732 6.406159 9.352031 13.301790 18.324230 25.090646
2025-03-09 2.156754 3.707237 5.932828 9.239916 13.891576 20.052365 28.655473
2025-03-16 1.685034 3.176685 5.460470 9.037483 14.297442 21.526488 31.949965
2025-03-23 1.467558 2.992344 5.455753 9.482799 15.617682 24.296702 37.123696
2025-03-30 1.222499 2.707427 5.243762 9.573614 16.405684 26.348550 41.398238
2025-04-06 0.951360 2.312497 4.784844 9.207397 16.450003 27.305743 44.145407
2025-04-13 0.728804 1.953831 4.324461 8.768908 16.318706 27.962973 46.455215
2025-04-20 0.649834 1.872662 4.350044 9.151673 17.518778 30.679585 51.916960
2025-04-27 0.611790 1.873297 4.527803 9.813845 19.215644 34.236907 58.784396
2025-05-04 0.550075 1.809245 4.578139 10.265231 20.617101 37.448268 65.342215
2025-05-11 0.458694 1.647651 4.405181 10.280834 21.269599 39.502250 70.210289
2025-05-18 0.364793 1.449519 4.120058 10.044397 21.453230 40.797172 73.938040
2025-05-25 0.293653 1.290667 3.892537 9.891091 21.765057 42.306803 78.057880
2025-06-01 0.245401 1.184152 3.766617 9.927258 22.418917 44.408711 83.200411
2025-06-08 0.197897 1.060624 3.575454 9.799493 22.746203 45.958016 87.486832
2025-06-15 0.183814 1.052906 3.679051 10.326243 24.368046 49.820667 95.742354
2025-06-22 0.156833 0.984300 3.608840 10.453203 25.207737 52.337779 101.822446
2025-06-29 0.119262 0.851632 3.334765 10.076471 25.007497 52.985280 104.750424
2025-07-06 0.087565 0.723388 3.042085 9.613823 24.587202 53.200187 106.926173
2025-07-13 0.080091 0.712840 3.105560 10.031188 26.028715 56.887593 115.238823